HISTORICAL AND FUTURE STORM SURGE AROUND NEW ZEALAND
From the 19th century to the end of the 21st century
We developed a new hindcast for storm surge at a 0.25° spatial scale for the whole New Zealand area using a statistical downscaling technique that links the mean local atmospheric conditions with the maximum storm surge levels at a daily scale. After validating the hindcast against sea level instrumental records from 17 tidal gauges around New Zealand, the same technique has been applied to obtain storm surge projections until 2100 using different global climate models. The global climate models have been previously classified according to their ability to reproduce the past climatology in the studied area and 7 models have been selected in order to explore their effect on storm surge projections.
Contact: Laura Cagigal at lcag075@aucklanduni.ac.nz
- Cagigal, L., Rueda, A., Castanedo, S., Cid, A., Perez, J., Stephens, S., Coco, G., Mendez, F. J. Historical and future storm surge around New Zealand: From the 19th century to the end of the 21st century. Int J Climatol. 2019; 1– 14. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6283
STORM SURGE TOOL
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